{"id":12768,"date":"2012-07-16T23:20:54","date_gmt":"2012-07-17T03:20:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=12768"},"modified":"2012-07-16T23:20:54","modified_gmt":"2012-07-17T03:20:54","slug":"bottom-for-netflix-not-confirmed-until-next-earnings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/07\/16\/bottom-for-netflix-not-confirmed-until-next-earnings\/","title":{"rendered":"A Bottom for Netflix Is Not Confirmed Until Its Next Earnings Report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/713681-a-bottom-for-netflix-is-not-confirmed-until-its-next-earnings-report\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In the past, I have only had bearish things to say about Netflix (for example, &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2011\/09\/30\/netflix-tags-110-price-target\/\" target=\"_blank\">Netflix Tags the $110 Target But More Downside To Come<\/a>&#8221; from September 30, 2011). However, I feel like I can finally say something positive about the stock, even if my words are laced with caveats.<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>The daily chart below shows how the recent breakout is very similar to the one that began 2012. Both feature runs above the 50-day moving average (DMA). The last rally produced a 67% gain in less than six weeks and included a strong response to an earnings report. The boxes in the chart below highlight the breakout points.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Click for a larger view&#8230;<\/strong><\/em><br \/>\n<center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12769\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12769\" style=\"width: 290px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120710_NFLX.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120710_NFLX-300x236.png\" alt=\"A repeat breakout for Netflix\" title=\"A repeat breakout for Netflix\" width=\"300\" height=\"236\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-12769\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120710_NFLX-300x236.png 300w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120710_NFLX.png 845w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12769\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A repeat breakout for Netflix<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><br \/>\n<br \/>\nThis repeat breakout is doubly important because it is coming off critical support that could mark a bottom for NFLX. The weekly chart below shows that the recent selling finally ended not only around the last bottom from November, 2011, but also right where NFLX experienced a major breakout in 2010.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12770\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12770\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120710_NFLX-weekly.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120710_NFLX-weekly.png\" alt=\"NFLX&#039;s second breakout from critical support may have finally produced a bottom\" title=\"NFLX&#039;s second breakout from critical support may have finally produced a bottom\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12770\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120710_NFLX-weekly.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120710_NFLX-weekly-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12770\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">NFLX&#039;s second breakout from critical support may have finally produced a bottom<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/713681-a-bottom-for-netflix-is-not-confirmed-until-its-next-earnings-report\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Long NFLX shares and puts; long FB<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In the past, I have only had bearish things to say about Netflix (for example, &#8220;Netflix Tags the $110 Target But More Downside To Come&#8221; from September 30, 2011). However, I &#8230; <a title=\"A Bottom for Netflix Is Not Confirmed Until Its Next Earnings Report\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/07\/16\/bottom-for-netflix-not-confirmed-until-next-earnings\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[482,219,599,511,62],"tags":[404,405],"class_list":["post-12768","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-breakout","category-high-tech","category-internet","category-support","category-technical-analysis","tag-netflix","tag-nflx"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Bottom for Netflix Is Not Confirmed Until Its Next Earnings Report - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/07\/16\/bottom-for-netflix-not-confirmed-until-next-earnings\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Bottom for Netflix Is Not Confirmed Until Its Next Earnings Report - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2012. 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