{"id":12604,"date":"2012-07-11T21:09:43","date_gmt":"2012-07-12T01:09:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=12604"},"modified":"2012-07-11T21:09:43","modified_gmt":"2012-07-12T01:09:43","slug":"kb-home-going-on-offense","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/07\/11\/kb-home-going-on-offense\/","title":{"rendered":"KB Home Going &#8220;On Offense&#8221; As Its Housing Markets And Pricing Power Strengthen"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 7, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/706441-kb-home-on-offense-as-its-housing-markets-and-pricing-power-strengthen\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Kb Home (KBH) has finally recovered most of its losses following its March 23rd earnings report. On that day, the market took KBH down 8.5% in response to those earnings, but <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/456311-the-outlook-for-kb-home-continues-to-improve\" target=\"_blank\">I still concluded that the outlook for KBH continued to improve<\/a>. I recommended buying the stock between $7.50 to $8.00, assuming that the market negativity would take the stock down much lower. In three more weeks, KBH fell 27.1% to $7.50. At that point, I again recommended buying KBH, this time at $7.50 (see &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/500521-kb-home-finally-approaches-buy-point-amidst-post-earnings-selling-pressure\" target=\"_blank\">KB Home Finally Approaches Buy Point Amidst Post-Earnings Selling Pressure<\/a>&#8220;). As of the July 6th close, such a purchase would have delivered 38% upside with a maximum drawdown of 13% (in early June).<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12685\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12685\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBH.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBH.png\" alt=\"KBH nearly recovers from March&#039;s earnings debacle\" title=\"KBH nearly recovers from March&#039;s earnings debacle\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12685\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBH.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBH-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12685\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">KBH nearly recovers from March&#039;s earnings debacle<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12686\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12686\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBH-weekly.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBH-weekly.png\" alt=\"KBH is still struggling to break free of the previous primary downtrend\" title=\"KBH is still struggling to break free of the previous primary downtrend\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12686\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBH-weekly.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBH-weekly-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12686\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">KBH is still struggling to break free of the previous primary downtrend<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip} During this last earnings conference call, management&#8217;s tone was decidedly bullish. {snip}<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;With our operational momentum and the markets improving, <strong>we are going on offense<\/strong>, and I have personally made this my top priority. We are aggressively investing in land assets and communities, activating communities in stabilizing markets, increasing revenues per community and strengthening management teams with additional resources.&#8221;<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>While I continue to get more and more encouraged by KBH&#8217;s results, shorts are clearly not impressed. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12683\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12683\" style=\"width: 540px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBHShareShort.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBHShareShort.png\" alt=\"Shares short in KBH have nearly doubled in 15 months\" title=\"Shares short in KBH have nearly doubled in 15 months\" width=\"550\" height=\"323\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12683\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBHShareShort.png 550w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_KBHShareShort-300x176.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12683\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Shares short in KBH have nearly doubled in 15 months<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip} For some perspective&#8230;{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12684\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12684\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_TOL.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_TOL.png\" alt=\"Toll Brothers breaks out of multi-year consolidation\" title=\"Toll Brothers breaks out of multi-year consolidation\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12684\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_TOL.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/07\/120706_TOL-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12684\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Toll Brothers breaks out of multi-year consolidation<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\nSource for charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 7, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/706441-kb-home-on-offense-as-its-housing-markets-and-pricing-power-strengthen\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long KBH<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 7, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Kb Home (KBH) has finally recovered most of its losses following its March 23rd earnings report. On that day, the market took KBH down 8.5% in response to those earnings, but &#8230; <a title=\"KB Home Going &#8220;On Offense&#8221; As Its Housing Markets And Pricing Power Strengthen\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/07\/11\/kb-home-going-on-offense\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[220,35],"tags":[554,553,146,147,1000,999,419,37,36],"class_list":["post-12604","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-earnings","category-housing","tag-bac","tag-bank-of-america","tag-kb-home","tag-kbh","tag-met","tag-metlife","tag-short-interest","tag-tol","tag-toll-brothers-inc"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>KB Home Going &quot;On Offense&quot; As Its Housing Markets And Pricing Power Strengthen - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/07\/11\/kb-home-going-on-offense\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"KB Home Going &quot;On Offense&quot; As Its Housing Markets And Pricing Power Strengthen - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 7, 2012. 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