{"id":12422,"date":"2012-06-21T04:26:40","date_gmt":"2012-06-21T08:26:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=12422"},"modified":"2012-07-09T00:38:57","modified_gmt":"2012-07-09T04:38:57","slug":"yen-flashes-warning-australian-dollar-sp500-resynch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/06\/21\/yen-flashes-warning-australian-dollar-sp500-resynch\/","title":{"rendered":"The Japanese Yen Flashes Another Warning Even As the Australian Dollar and S&#038;P 500 Resynch"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 19, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/668711-yen-flashes-another-warning-even-as-the-australian-dollar-and-s-p-500-rally-together\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>{snip} I was looking for confirmation of the increasingly bullish outlook, but I did not get it. In &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/484281-bearish-implications-of-a-rare-convergence-of-extremes-in-yen-vs-s-p-500-correlations\" target=\"_blank\">Bearish Implications of A Rare Convergence of Extremes in Yen vs S&#038;P 500 Correlations<\/a>&#8220;&#8230;{snip}&#8230;I concluded that the extreme convergence of the 20 and 50DMAs signaled a sell-off in the S&#038;P 500 {snip}. Three weeks later, the S&#038;P 500 peaked. {snip} The 20 and 50DMAs have converged yet again, along with the 200DMA. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Click to view larger images&#8230;<br \/>\n<center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12423\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12423\" style=\"width: 290px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_RollingCorrelations_USDJPYvsSP500.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_RollingCorrelations_USDJPYvsSP500-300x215.png\" alt=\"The correlation between USD\/JPY and the S&amp;P 500 has already reached an extreme again\" title=\"The correlation between USD\/JPY and the S&amp;P 500 has already reached an extreme again\" width=\"300\" height=\"215\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-12423\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_RollingCorrelations_USDJPYvsSP500-300x215.png 300w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_RollingCorrelations_USDJPYvsSP500.png 816w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12423\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The correlation between USD\/JPY and the S&P 500 has already reached an extreme again<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12426\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12426\" style=\"width: 290px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_RollingCorrelations_USDJPYvsSP500_wIndex.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_RollingCorrelations_USDJPYvsSP500_wIndex-300x214.png\" alt=\"This time, the S&amp;P 500 is trying to break out as the rolling correlations have reached extremes together\" title=\"This time, the S&amp;P 500 is trying to break out as the rolling correlations have reached extremes together\" width=\"300\" height=\"214\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-12426\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_RollingCorrelations_USDJPYvsSP500_wIndex-300x214.png 300w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_RollingCorrelations_USDJPYvsSP500_wIndex.png 824w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12426\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">This time, the S&P 500 is trying to break out as the rolling correlations have reached extremes together<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: Prices from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}&#8230;the Australian dollar versus the U.S. dollar (AUD\/USD) has synchronized with the S&#038;P 500 once again. In &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/619541-correlations-are-broken-but-australian-dollar-still-leads-the-s-p-500\" target=\"_blank\">Correlations Are Broken But Australian Dollar Still Leads The S&#038;P 500<\/a>&#8221; on May 26th, I pointed out how the Australian dollar, using the CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust (FXA) as a sufficient currency proxy, has frequently led the performance in the S&#038;P 500. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>Click for larger views&#8230;<br \/>\n<center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12428\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12428\" style=\"width: 290px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_FXAvsSP500.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_FXAvsSP500-300x130.png\" alt=\"The Australian dollar versus the S&#038;P 500\" title=\"The Australian dollar versus the S&#038;P 500\" width=\"300\" height=\"130\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-12428\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_FXAvsSP500-300x130.png 300w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_FXAvsSP500-1024x447.png 1024w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_FXAvsSP500.png 1033w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12428\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Australian dollar versus the S&P 500<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12429\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12429\" style=\"width: 290px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_FXAvsSP500-2012.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_FXAvsSP500-2012-300x130.png\" alt=\"FXA versus the S&amp;P 500 since December, 2011\" title=\"FXA versus the S&amp;P 500 since December, 2011\" width=\"300\" height=\"130\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-12429\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_FXAvsSP500-2012-300x130.png 300w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_FXAvsSP500-2012-1024x446.png 1024w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120618_FXAvsSP500-2012.png 1029w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12429\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">FXA versus the S&P 500 since December, 2011<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: Yahoo!Finance<\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>I was hoping for the Australian dollar and the S&#038;P 500 to diverge again to provide a signal for a likely path forward. Instead, <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/658301-australian-dollar-hits-relief-rally-target-but-bearish-trend-remains-intact\" target=\"_blank\">my assumption that the Australian dollar will soon resume its downtrend<\/a> implies that the S&#038;P 500 will also turn south &#8211; either together or with the Australian dollar leading the way. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 19, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/668711-yen-flashes-another-warning-even-as-the-australian-dollar-and-s-p-500-rally-together\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: net long Japanese yen, net short Australian dollar, long SDS<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 19, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} I was looking for confirmation of the increasingly bullish outlook, but I did not get it. In &#8220;Bearish Implications of A Rare Convergence of Extremes in Yen vs S&#038;P 500 &#8230; <a title=\"The Japanese Yen Flashes Another Warning Even As the Australian Dollar and S&#038;P 500 Resynch\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/06\/21\/yen-flashes-warning-australian-dollar-sp500-resynch\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,20,204,997,62,21],"tags":[308,310,998,309,513,138,448,533,1597,454],"class_list":["post-12422","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-forex","category-japan","category-sp-500-analysis","category-technical-analysis","category-u-s-dollar","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar","tag-correlations","tag-fxa","tag-fxy","tag-japanese-yen","tag-rydex-currencyshares-australian-dollar-trust-etf","tag-rydex-currencyshares-japanese-yen-trust-etf","tag-technical-analysis","tag-usdjpy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Japanese Yen Flashes Another Warning Even As the Australian Dollar and S&amp;P 500 Resynch - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/06\/21\/yen-flashes-warning-australian-dollar-sp500-resynch\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Japanese Yen Flashes Another Warning Even As the Australian Dollar and S&amp;P 500 Resynch - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 19, 2012. 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Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} I was looking for confirmation of the increasingly bullish outlook, but I did not get it. In &#8220;Bearish Implications of A Rare Convergence of Extremes in Yen vs S&#038;P 500 ... 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