{"id":12307,"date":"2012-06-16T19:27:10","date_gmt":"2012-06-16T23:27:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=12307"},"modified":"2012-06-16T19:27:10","modified_gmt":"2012-06-16T23:27:10","slug":"australian-dollar-hits-relief-rally-target-bearish-trend-intact","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/06\/16\/australian-dollar-hits-relief-rally-target-bearish-trend-intact\/","title":{"rendered":"Australian Dollar Hits Relief Rally Target But Bearish Trend Remains Intact"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 14, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/658301-australian-dollar-hits-relief-rally-target-but-bearish-trend-remains-intact\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Last week, the Australian dollar (FXA) took a rest from its longest post-recession sell-off (3+ months and running). Good economic numbers with <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/639861-australian-gdp-growth-soars-despite-a-large-drop-in-the-terms-of-trade\" target=\"_blank\">surging GDP<\/a> and surprisingly strong job creation forced traders to pause and take note. The resulting relief rally took the Australian dollar quickly to my relief rally target around parity and the 50-day moving average (DMA).<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12311\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12311\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_AUDUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"Sell-off in the Australian dollar takes a pause\" title=\"Sell-off in the Australian dollar takes a pause\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12311\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_AUDUSD.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_AUDUSD-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12311\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Sell-off in the Australian dollar takes a pause<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12312\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12312\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_AUDUSD-closeup.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_AUDUSD-closeup.png\" alt=\"Parity holding as resistance as 50DMA quickly declines into parity level\" title=\"Parity holding as resistance as 50DMA quickly declines into parity level\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12312\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_AUDUSD-closeup.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_AUDUSD-closeup-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12312\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Parity holding as resistance as 50DMA quickly declines into parity level<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>While I expect the downtrend to remain intact, I am on alert for a bullish breakout. As I have mentioned before, <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/637181-reserve-bank-of-australia-cuts-rates-again-and-gives-weak-forward-guidance-what-s-next\" target=\"_blank\">I am not expecting the Reserve Bank of Australia to continue cutting rates without some fresh macro-economic shock to force its hand<\/a>. Assuming the market comes around to my line of thinking, downside should be limited to somewhere around the recent lows &#8211; meaning the overall short-term sell-off is coming to an end. We can see the change in fortunes in the Australian dollar&#8217;s ability to trade well against the British pound (GBP\/AUD) over the last three weeks. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12313\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12313\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_GBPAUD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_GBPAUD.png\" alt=\"The Australian dollar is coming back against the British pound\" title=\"The Australian dollar is coming back against the British pound\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12313\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_GBPAUD.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120613_GBPAUD-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12313\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The Australian dollar is coming back against the British pound<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 14, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/658301-australian-dollar-hits-relief-rally-target-but-bearish-trend-remains-intact\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: net short Australian dollar<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week, the Australian dollar (FXA) took a rest from its longest post-recession sell-off (3+ months and running). Good economic numbers with surging GDP and surprisingly strong job creation forced traders &#8230; <a title=\"Australian Dollar Hits Relief Rally Target But Bearish Trend Remains Intact\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/06\/16\/australian-dollar-hits-relief-rally-target-bearish-trend-intact\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,20,62],"tags":[308,310,1597],"class_list":["post-12307","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-forex","category-technical-analysis","tag-audusd","tag-australian-dollar","tag-technical-analysis"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Australian Dollar Hits Relief Rally Target But Bearish Trend Remains Intact - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/06\/16\/australian-dollar-hits-relief-rally-target-bearish-trend-intact\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Australian Dollar Hits Relief Rally Target But Bearish Trend Remains Intact - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 14, 2012. 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