{"id":12138,"date":"2012-06-08T10:36:42","date_gmt":"2012-06-08T14:36:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=12138"},"modified":"2012-06-08T10:36:42","modified_gmt":"2012-06-08T14:36:42","slug":"australian-gdp-growth-soars-despite-drop-terms-of-trade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/06\/08\/australian-gdp-growth-soars-despite-drop-terms-of-trade\/","title":{"rendered":"Australian GDP Growth Soars Despite A Large Drop in the Terms of Trade"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 6, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/639861-australian-gdp-growth-soars-despite-a-large-drop-in-the-terms-of-trade\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Tuesday night, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.abs.gov.au\/ausstats\/abs@.nsf\/latestProducts\/5206.0Media%20Release1Mar%202012\" target=\"_blank\">the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported a surprise jump in GDP of 1.3% quarter-over-quarter<\/a>. With growing fears of a global economic slowdown, analyst consensus had pegged growth only around 0.6%. At the same time growth surprised to the upside, Australia&#8217;s terms of trade plunged 4.3% accompanying a -0.5% (percentage points) contribution to GDP of net exports. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will certainly take careful note of these numbers since robust domestic demand coupled with a trade deficit funded by a depreciating currency could reintroduce inflationary pressures into the economy. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12139\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12139\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120605_AUDUSD-30min.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120605_AUDUSD-30min.png\" alt=\"30-minute chart shows surge in Australian dollar versus the U.S. dollar and how lows from the previous day&#039;s rate cut have held\" title=\"30-minute chart shows surge in Australian dollar versus the U.S. dollar and how lows from the previous day&#039;s rate cut have held\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12139\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120605_AUDUSD-30min.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120605_AUDUSD-30min-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12139\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">30-minute chart shows surge in Australian dollar versus the U.S. dollar and how lows from the previous day&#039;s rate cut have held<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12140\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12140\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120605_AUDUSD.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120605_AUDUSD.png\" alt=\"Australian dollar on-schedule for a relief rally into the (declining) 50-day moving average\" title=\"Australian dollar on-schedule for a relief rally into the (declining) 50-day moving average\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12140\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120605_AUDUSD.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/06\/120605_AUDUSD-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12140\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Australian dollar on-schedule for a relief rally into the (declining) 50-day moving average<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 6, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/639861-australian-gdp-growth-soars-despite-a-large-drop-in-the-terms-of-trade\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: net long Australian dollar<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Tuesday night, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported a surprise jump in GDP of 1.3% quarter-over-quarter. With growing fears of a global economic slowdown, analyst consensus had pegged growth only &#8230; <a title=\"Australian GDP Growth Soars Despite A Large Drop in the Terms of Trade\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/06\/08\/australian-gdp-growth-soars-despite-drop-terms-of-trade\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[386,59,20],"tags":[308,309,247,203,448],"class_list":["post-12138","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-australia","category-economy","category-forex","tag-audusd","tag-fxa","tag-gdp","tag-reserve-bank-of-australia","tag-rydex-currencyshares-australian-dollar-trust-etf"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Australian GDP Growth Soars Despite A Large Drop in the Terms of Trade - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/06\/08\/australian-gdp-growth-soars-despite-drop-terms-of-trade\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Australian GDP Growth Soars Despite A Large Drop in the Terms of Trade - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 6, 2012. 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