{"id":11894,"date":"2012-05-29T02:48:18","date_gmt":"2012-05-29T06:48:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=11894"},"modified":"2012-05-29T02:48:18","modified_gmt":"2012-05-29T06:48:18","slug":"pairs-trade-juniper-cisco","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/05\/29\/pairs-trade-juniper-cisco\/","title":{"rendered":"Time For Yet Another Pairs Trade As Juniper Networks and Cisco Systems Plunge"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 26, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/619391-time-for-yet-another-pairs-trade-as-juniper-networks-and-cisco-systems-plunge\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>I became so comfortable with the JNPR side of the trade that I never blinked while accumulating a fresh JNPR position over the past two and a half months <strong>without<\/strong> establishing a short CSCO position. Departing from the original strategy was costly given JNPR has now returned to 2011&#8217;s multi-year lows AND I was not positioned to take advantage of another disastrous earnings report from CSCO two weeks ago. The additional irony is that the CSCO\/JNPR ratio has bounced around the key 0.95 level over the same time I have built up the long position in JNPR.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_11897\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11897\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCOvsJNPR.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCOvsJNPR.png\" alt=\"The ratio of stock prices between CSCO and JNPR sits at multi-year highs\" title=\"The ratio of stock prices between CSCO and JNPR sits at multi-year highs\" width=\"520\" height=\"318\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11897\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCOvsJNPR.png 520w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCOvsJNPR-300x183.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 520px) 100vw, 520px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11897\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The ratio of stock prices between CSCO and JNPR sits at multi-year highs<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/stockcharts.com\/h-sc\/ui?s=CSCO:JNPR&#038;p=D&#038;yr=3&#038;mn=0&#038;dy=0&#038;id=p39936607585\" target=\"_blank\">StockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>So, it is time to leave the past behind and re-initiate the proper pairs trade. I prefer using options given the promising upside potential. While the profits last year were made on the long side, I think it is much more likely that the profits this time will be made on the short side. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_11899\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11899\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_JNPR.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_JNPR.png\" alt=\"Juniper Networks struggles to remain above 2011 lows\" title=\"Juniper Networks struggles to remain above 2011 lows\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11899\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_JNPR.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_JNPR-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11899\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Juniper Networks struggles to remain above 2011 lows<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>CSCO&#8217;s chart is even more telling from a longer-term basis. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Click image to see a larger view&#8230;<\/strong><\/em><br \/>\n<center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_11900\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11900\" style=\"width: 290px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCO-weekly.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCO-weekly-300x203.jpg\" alt=\"CSCO is slowly but surely unraveling\" title=\"CSCO is slowly but surely unraveling\" width=\"300\" height=\"203\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-11900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCO-weekly-300x203.jpg 300w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCO-weekly.jpg 987w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11900\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">CSCO is slowly but surely unraveling<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>A monthly view of CSCO makes the steady decline even more clear. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_11901\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11901\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCO-monthly.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCO-monthly.png\" alt=\"CSCO&#039;s downtrend points toward another test of 2009 lows\" title=\"CSCO&#039;s downtrend points toward another test of 2009 lows\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11901\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCO-monthly.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_CSCO-monthly-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11901\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">CSCO&#039;s downtrend points toward another test of 2009 lows<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Here is JNPR&#8217;s monhtly chart for comparison&#8230;{snip}&#8230;JNPR still has some longer-term positive momentum.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_11902\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11902\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_JNPR-monthly.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_JNPR-monthly.png\" alt=\"Juniper is retesting 2011 lows but has higher highs working in its favor over the long-term\" title=\"Juniper is retesting 2011 lows but has higher highs working in its favor over the long-term\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11902\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_JNPR-monthly.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120525_JNPR-monthly-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11902\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Juniper is retesting 2011 lows but has higher highs working in its favor over the long-term<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for stock charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 26, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/619391-time-for-yet-another-pairs-trade-as-juniper-networks-and-cisco-systems-plunge\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long JNPR calls<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} I became so comfortable with the JNPR side of the trade that I never blinked while accumulating a fresh JNPR position over the past two and a half months without &#8230; <a title=\"Time For Yet Another Pairs Trade As Juniper Networks and Cisco Systems Plunge\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/05\/29\/pairs-trade-juniper-cisco\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[219,32],"tags":[740,255,683,682,418],"class_list":["post-11894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-high-tech","category-options","tag-cisco-systems","tag-csco","tag-jnpr","tag-juniper-networks","tag-pairs-trade"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Time For Yet Another Pairs Trade As Juniper Networks and Cisco Systems Plunge - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/05\/29\/pairs-trade-juniper-cisco\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Time For Yet Another Pairs Trade As Juniper Networks and Cisco Systems Plunge - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 26, 2012. 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Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} I became so comfortable with the JNPR side of the trade that I never blinked while accumulating a fresh JNPR position over the past two and a half months without ... 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