{"id":11606,"date":"2012-05-17T02:56:34","date_gmt":"2012-05-17T06:56:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=11606"},"modified":"2012-05-17T02:56:34","modified_gmt":"2012-05-17T06:56:34","slug":"bearish-signs-mount-as-bottom-drops-out-tbt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/05\/17\/bearish-signs-mount-as-bottom-drops-out-tbt\/","title":{"rendered":"Bearish Signs Mount As The Bottom Drops Out of ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 15, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/589341-the-bottom-drops-out-of-proshares-ultrashort-20-year-treasury-and-bearish-signs-increase\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>So much for that bottoming process in ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) that I noted two months ago (see &#8220;<a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/435031-looking-like-a-bottom-for-tbt\" target=\"_blank\">Looking Like A Bottom For TBT<\/a>&#8220;). Interest rates are headed lower again on U.S. Treasurys. This has occurred despite common and often-stated expectations earlier this year that stronger economic data in the U.S. would slowly but surely lead to higher rates. It was against this backdrop I blithely assumed the bottom was finally in for TBT. Now, TBT is breaking down, and iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT) is breaking out.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_11607\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11607\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_TBT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_TBT.png\" alt=\"TBT breaks down as Treasury yields decline again\" title=\"TBT breaks down as Treasury yields decline again\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11607\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_TBT.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_TBT-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11607\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">TBT breaks down as Treasury yields decline again<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_11613\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11613\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_TLT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_TLT.png\" alt=\"Since TBT is breaking down, TLT is of course breaking out\" title=\"Since TBT is breaking down, TLT is of course breaking out\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11613\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_TLT.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_TLT-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11613\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Since TBT is breaking down, TLT is of course breaking out<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The prospects for reversing these moves seem relatively dim as a steadily rising U.S. dollar index accompanied by a sinking S&#038;P 500 seem to both confirm the growing momentum in fear. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_11614\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11614\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_DXY0.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_DXY0.png\" alt=\"U.S. dollar index slowly creeps higher and breaks out from recent downtrend\" title=\"U.S. dollar index slowly creeps higher and breaks out from recent downtrend\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11614\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_DXY0.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_DXY0-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11614\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">U.S. dollar index slowly creeps higher and breaks out from recent downtrend<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_11617\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11617\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_SP500.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_SP500.png\" alt=\"The S&amp;P 500 has that sinking feeling\" title=\"The S&amp;P 500 has that sinking feeling\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11617\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_SP500.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_SP500-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11617\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The S&P 500 has that sinking feeling<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>Finally, it seems increasingly clear that munis will NOT be the rock of choice for fearful investors to use for hiding. {snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_11619\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11619\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_MUB.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_MUB.png\" alt=\"The upward trend seems to be ending for the iShares S&amp;P National AMT-Free Muni Bond Fund\" title=\"The upward trend seems to be ending for the iShares S&amp;P National AMT-Free Muni Bond Fund\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11619\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_MUB.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/05\/120514_MUB-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11619\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The upward trend seems to be ending for the iShares S&P National AMT-Free Muni Bond Fund<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source for charts: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 15, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/589341-the-bottom-drops-out-of-proshares-ultrashort-20-year-treasury-and-bearish-signs-increase\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long TBT, SDS, SSO calls<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 15, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) So much for that bottoming process in ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) that I noted two months ago (see &#8220;Looking Like A Bottom For TBT&#8220;). Interest rates are headed lower &#8230; <a title=\"Bearish Signs Mount As The Bottom Drops Out of ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/05\/17\/bearish-signs-mount-as-bottom-drops-out-tbt\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[456,483,62],"tags":[452,451],"class_list":["post-11606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bonds-2","category-breakdown","category-technical-analysis","tag-ishares-sp-national-municipal-bond-etf","tag-mub"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bearish Signs Mount As The Bottom Drops Out of ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/05\/17\/bearish-signs-mount-as-bottom-drops-out-tbt\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bearish Signs Mount As The Bottom Drops Out of ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 15, 2012. 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Click here to read the entire piece.) So much for that bottoming process in ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) that I noted two months ago (see &#8220;Looking Like A Bottom For TBT&#8220;). Interest rates are headed lower ... 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