{"id":10804,"date":"2012-04-03T02:57:51","date_gmt":"2012-04-03T06:57:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=10804"},"modified":"2012-04-03T09:27:20","modified_gmt":"2012-04-03T13:27:20","slug":"brace-for-more-surprises-groupon-restates-earnings","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/04\/03\/brace-for-more-surprises-groupon-restates-earnings\/","title":{"rendered":"Brace for More Surprises: Groupon Restates Earnings, Reveals Weakness in Financial Controls"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 30, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/469821-brace-for-more-surprises-groupon-restates-earnings-reveals-weakness-in-financial-controls\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After traders packed up for the weekend, <a href=\"http:\/\/investor.groupon.com\/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=660861\" title=\"Groupon Announces Revised Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2011 Results, Confirms First Quarter Guidance\" target=\"_blank\">Groupon (GRPN) issued two warnings<\/a> during the evening of March 30th.<\/p>\n<p>First, Groupon discovered it under-estimated its refund rate for the previous quarter. As a result, the company  revised downward its revenue and earnings numbers:<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>This means GRPN actually had a greater loss for the last quarter. GRPN claims in its <a href=\"http:\/\/investor.groupon.com\/secfiling.cfm?filingID=1445305-12-922&#038;CIK=1490281\" target=\"_blank\">10K filing<\/a>  released in parallel with the restatement that it has fixed its refund model to include a change in deal mix and higher priced offers. {snip} Refund dynamics will get the spotlight as a source of potential uncertainty in GRPN&#8217;s revenues and profits.<\/p>\n<p>Second, GRPN warned that it &#8220;..identified a material weakness in [its] internal control over financial reporting which could, if not remediated, result in material misstatements in our financial statements.&#8221; The details are included in <a href=\"http:\/\/investor.groupon.com\/secfiling.cfm?filingID=1445305-12-922&#038;CIK=1490281\" target=\"_blank\">the company&#8217;s 10K filing<\/a>. {snip}<\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Until this issue is resolved, the implied risk premium for GRPN grows larger. GRPN&#8217;s stock dropped as much as 10% in after-hours trading. Curiously, GRPN&#8217;s stock rallied into these revelations.<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_10811\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10811\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120330_GRPN.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120330_GRPN.png\" alt=\"Groupon is still trading below its IPO price\" title=\"Groupon is still trading below its IPO price\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-10811\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120330_GRPN.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120330_GRPN-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-10811\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Groupon is still trading below its IPO price<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>{snip}<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 30, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/469821-brace-for-more-surprises-groupon-restates-earnings-reveals-weakness-in-financial-controls\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long GRPN puts (as of original writing only)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 30, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After traders packed up for the weekend, Groupon (GRPN) issued two warnings during the evening of March 30th. First, Groupon discovered it under-estimated its refund rate for the previous quarter. As &#8230; <a title=\"Brace for More Surprises: Groupon Restates Earnings, Reveals Weakness in Financial Controls\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/04\/03\/brace-for-more-surprises-groupon-restates-earnings\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[220,599,338],"tags":[822,821],"class_list":["post-10804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-earnings","category-internet","category-retail","tag-groupon","tag-grpn"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Brace for More Surprises: Groupon Restates Earnings, Reveals Weakness in Financial Controls - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/04\/03\/brace-for-more-surprises-groupon-restates-earnings\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Brace for More Surprises: Groupon Restates Earnings, Reveals Weakness in Financial Controls - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 30, 2012. 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