{"id":10524,"date":"2012-03-15T01:21:18","date_gmt":"2012-03-15T05:21:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/?p=10524"},"modified":"2012-03-15T01:21:18","modified_gmt":"2012-03-15T05:21:18","slug":"looks-like-a-bottom-for-tbt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/03\/15\/looks-like-a-bottom-for-tbt\/","title":{"rendered":"Chart Review: Looks Like A Bottom for TBT"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 14, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/435031-looking-like-a-bottom-for-tbt\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>For the past few years, trying to call a top in Treasurys has been a fool&#8217;s game. From the manipulation of the Federal Reserve to fears of deflation to fears of global calamities, U.S. government debt has served as the reliable &#8220;go-to&#8221; rock under which to hide. The strong rally in stocks that has taken the S&#038;P 500 (SPY) to new multi-year highs has surprisingly featured little reaction in bonds&#8230;until now.<br \/>\n{snip}<\/p>\n<p><center><br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_10526\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10526\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120314_TBT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120314_TBT.png\" alt=\"Starting to look like TBT has finally printed some kind of bottom\" title=\"Starting to look like TBT has finally printed some kind of bottom\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-10526\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120314_TBT.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120314_TBT-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-10526\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Starting to look like TBT has finally printed some kind of bottom<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<br \/>\n<figure id=\"attachment_10527\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-10527\" style=\"width: 490px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120314_TLT.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120314_TLT.png\" alt=\"TLT looks like it is finally breaking down\" title=\"TLT looks like it is finally breaking down\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" class=\"size-full wp-image-10527\" srcset=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120314_TLT.png 500w, https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/03\/120314_TLT-300x210.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-10527\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">TLT looks like it is finally breaking down<\/figcaption><\/figure><br \/>\n<strong>Source: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.freestockcharts.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">FreeStockCharts.com<\/a><\/strong><br \/>\n<\/center><\/p>\n<p>The forces that continue to prop up U.S. government debt and keep yields low are strong. For example, on February 2, 2012, Doug Kass recently cited the following statistics about the continued flight from stocks to bonds in 2011&#8230;{snip}<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/02\/04\/t2108-update-120203\/\" target=\"_blank\">At the time I originally quoted these data<\/a>, I noted how fascinated I was by the alacrity of individual investors in this cycle. {snip} &#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Be careful out there!<\/p>\n<p><strong>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 14, 2012. <a href=\"http:\/\/seekingalpha.com\/article\/435031-looking-like-a-bottom-for-tbt\" target=\"_blank\">Click here to read the entire piece<\/a>.)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Full disclosure: long TBT and short TBT puts<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) For the past few years, trying to call a top in Treasurys has been a fool&#8217;s game. From the manipulation of the Federal Reserve to fears of deflation to fears of &#8230; <a title=\"Chart Review: Looks Like A Bottom for TBT\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/03\/15\/looks-like-a-bottom-for-tbt\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[456,62],"tags":[283,129,444,443,1597,280],"class_list":["post-10524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bonds-2","category-technical-analysis","tag-ishares-barclays-20-year-treasury-bond","tag-market-sentiment","tag-proshares-ultrashort-20-year-treasury","tag-tbt","tag-technical-analysis","tag-tlt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chart Review: Looks Like A Bottom for TBT - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/drduru.com\/onetwentytwo\/2012\/03\/15\/looks-like-a-bottom-for-tbt\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Chart Review: Looks Like A Bottom for TBT - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 14, 2012. 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