Overbought Trading Resumes With Fresh Momentum for the Reopen Trade – Above the 40 (November 13, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 74.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (Day #1 overbought, 3 of last 4 days ooverbought) AT200 = 68.1%% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 3-year high and holding breakout above post financial crisis downtrend) VIX = 23.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral … Read more

Stock Market Rebounds Stronger Than Before – Above the 40 (October 9, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 61.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 25.0 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Without recognizing the bullish divergence that ended the previous week, last week’s trading dynamic of a … Read more

How to Buy Stocks Ahead of A Bursting Housing Bubble

Chasing bubbles is a dangerous game. Chasing a housing bubble is barely a game. The Case for a Housing Bubble On CNBC’s Fast Money, Tim Seymour led a segment called the “Mother of All Housing Bubbles.” I expected Seymour to make the case for shorting housing-related stocks. As a perma-bull on the housing market, I … Read more

Stock Market Transitions to Key Breakouts and Setups At Support – Above the 40 (July 17, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 56.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 32.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 25.7Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Last week started with a growl and ended quietly. The stock market quickly transitioned from confirming a bearish … Read more

A Two-Speed Stock Market Remains on Edge – Above the 40 (July 2, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 53.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2-month low)AT200 = 25.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 34.7Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The damage in the stock market the previous week looked strong enough to eventually take trading conditions … Read more

Panic Buying, Catch-Up Trades Further Extend Overbought Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 5, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 90.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 13 of last 14 trading days)AT200 = 37.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (highest since February 26, 2020)VIX = 24.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The on-going recovery in the stock market … Read more

Stock Market Launches Deeply Into Overbought Trading Conditions – Above the 40 (April 29, 2020)

AT40 (T2108) soared to 82.6% and started overbought conditions at extreme levels.

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 82.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (first oversold day)AT200 = 17.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 31.2Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary On Tuesday, AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), rallied … Read more

Green Shoots Push Into the Next Downtrend Threatening to Trample Stocks – Above the 40 (March 27, 2020)

AT40 = 3.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (23rd oversold day)AT200 = 5.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new low for the oversold period)VIX = 65.5Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary First a dose of hope: “Coronavirus treatment: Palo Alto woman recovers from coronavirus after … Read more

T2108 Update (February 19, 2014) – Here We Go Again

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Whirlpool Insists U.S. Housing Recovery and Homebuilding Look Fine From Its Perch

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 5, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Three months ago I wrote about about a disconnect that I perceived between investor assessments of Whirlpool (WHR) versus homebuilders like Tri Pointe Homes (TPH). {snip} Fast forward to November 4th … Read more