Another Important Breakout for the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 5, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Japanese yen was the last remaining currency to “hold out” against the Australian dollar’s recent advances. On Friday, the AUD/JPY currency pair jumped again off its 200-day moving average (DMA) … Read more

F5 Networks Should Soon Recover Recent Post-Earnings Losses

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 5, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On July 20th, I described the mechanics of making the pre-earnings trade on F5 Networks (FFIV) (see “Lessons From The F5 Networks Earnings Trade“). After finishing the post-earnings trade with a … Read more

T2108 Update (August 7, 2012) – Critical Juncture: Overbought, 2012 Highs, and the Australian Dollar

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 76.4% (third day of … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Breaks Out

The recovery from the post-earnings dip in July is officially complete for Apple (AAPL). On Monday, August 6th, AAPL broke out from a short trading range defined at the bottom by the psychologically important $600 level and at the top by the April post-earnings high. This breakout symbolizes the neutralization of whatever worries prevented buyers … Read more

A 5% Decline In The S&P 500 Within Three Months Would Be A “Gift”

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 2, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) A month ago I explained how the three months leading into a U.S. Presidential election featuring an incumbent tend to represent a bullish period (see “The Positive Trade When Incumbent Presidents … Read more