T2108 Update (January 5, 2016) – A Calm Bullish Divergence Amid A Raging Storm for the S&P 500

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Anatomy of A Bottom: Do Not Argue With Sellers – Celebrate With Buyers

So often I see “value investors” who equate the conviction of their position and alacrity of their analysis for being able to pick a bottom in a hapless stock. If the bottom fails, sometimes these investors will continue accumulating stock with each buy delivering the welcome opportunity to lower their cost basis. Meanwhile, losses keep … Read more

T2108 Update (December 14, 2015) – An Unconvincing Oversold Bounce

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (December 11, 2015) – Oversold But Dangerous

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Follow-Up to Some Bullish Solar Setups

Almost two weeks ago, I described some bullish setups on solar stocks. Here is a quick update on those setups and related trades. First Solar (FSLR) FSLR is a picture-perfect setup from 200-day moving average (DMA) support. I sold my call options into the rally that stalled a little on the shortened trading day on … Read more

T2108 Update (November 17, 2015) – The S&P 500 Fails A Key Test

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Some Bullish Solar Stock Setups

November 16, 2015 was a strange trading day as U.S. stock markets rallied in the wake of the horrific terrorist attacks in Paris. There were really big moves in even some big cap stocks. The S&P 500 (SPY) reversed all of its losses on Friday and then some. This is the strong and supportive context … Read more

T2108 Upate (November 10, 2015) – A Deceptively Calm Market Day

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (September 28, 2015) – Oversold Part 3: Sellers Take Control And Reset My Targets

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Solar City’s 2014 Low Has Behaved Like A Critical Pivot Point

The solar industry has taken an extra hard beating in the wake of the market’s general sell-off. Solar City (SCTY) has caught my interest because the stock has exhibited a clear pattern during this sell-off: a pivot around the 2014 low. Solar City’s primary trading range extended back to late 2014. If I could extend … Read more