U.K. Shopping Spree Sends the Pound Soaring

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 17, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The United Kingdom’s Office of National Statistics (ONS) reported retail sales today that suggest consumers went on a literal shopping spree in December, 2013. {snip} The ONS reported the most notable … Read more

British Pound Breaks Out As GDP Further Confirms Momentum of UK Recovery

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 26, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Third quarter GDP for the United Kingdom grew 1.5% year-over-year and 0.8% quarter-over-quarter. These numbers met economist “expectations,” yet the British pound soared in response anyway. This rally is important as … Read more

The Federal Reserve Leaves No Catalyst for A Dollar Breakdown…or Breakout

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 1, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar (UUP) sold off steadily going into Wednesday’s (October 30, 2013) statement from the Federal Reserve on monetary policy. It has been a slow yet relatively steady grind lower … Read more

Pound Continues to Push Higher As Carney Fails to Rein In Bond Market

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 15, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In last week’s Inflation Report, Bank of England governor Mark Carney tried his best to spin the good economic data in the United Kingdom as evidence that interest rates need to … Read more

Surprisingly Strong UK GDP Tests British Pound’s Downtrend

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 28, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The British pound (FXB) was falling fast going into last week’s GDP number. The pound even broke through support at its 50-day moving average (DMA). It seemed like momentum was setting … Read more

British Pound Continues To Breakdown Ahead of Third Quarter GDP Numbers

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 23, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) It took a while, but the British pound (FXB) finally broke down against the U.S. dollar with a recent break below the 50-day moving average (DMA). Source: FreeStockCharts.com This breakdown is … Read more

Austere Trouble Brewing for the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 10, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Just a few days after writing that the U.S. dollar’s post-QE3 rally was giving way to meandering, the U.S. dollar (UUP) surged back to the top of the recent relief rally … Read more

So Far So Good On Buying Dips In British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 19, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In “British Pound Surges Into Resistance – Buy Dips As Government and Bank of England Try To Ease Credit Crunch” on June 15th I argued that it is time to buy … Read more

Betting the Breakout In the British Pound Will Not Last

On Tuesday (February 28), the British pound finally broke out against the U.S. dollar with a resounding surge above its 200-day moving average (200DMA). The struggle to break this resistance lasted the entire month of February. Despite this technical breakthrough, I remain skeptical that the British pound will deliver much follow-through before faltering again. Indeed, … Read more

Chart Review: Australian Dollar Hitting Critical Junctures

I moderated my bullishness on the Australian dollar in early December because Australia’s terms of trade have likely peaked for now and the Reserve Bank of Australia had lowered rates twice. Last week, I recharged my bullishness on the Australian dollar after the Federal Reserve extended its dovish monetary policy. The Australian dollar experienced a … Read more