An Overbought Stock Market Bang and a Whimper – Above the 40 (November 20, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 76.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (Day #6 overbought) AT200 = 71.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 3-year high and holding breakout above post financial crisis downtrend) VIX = 23.7 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market … Read more

A Tech Stock Breakdown While Rest of Market Yawns – Above the 40 (September 18, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 43.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 44.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 25.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary Tech stocks led the way up, and now they are leading the way down. The top 1% of the … Read more

Stock Market Snaps Out of Bearish Divergence – Above the 40 (July 15, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 58.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 30.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 27.8Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary I anticipated a shallow sell-off for a downward resolution to the bearish divergence in the stock market. However, … Read more

Another Chocolate Scare – This Time Contrasting with Cocoa Price Action

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 24, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Nine months ago I wrote a piece describing the investment/trading opportunity in cocoa with a focus on iPath DJ-UBS Cocoa TR Sub-Idx ETN (NIB); iPath Pure Beta Cocoa ETN (CHOC) has … Read more

Opportunistically Invest In Cocoa

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 24, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Friday, February 14, 2014, Nightly Business Report produced a timely segment on chocolate and the strong growth in worldwide demand that challenges global supplies. My ears really perked up when … Read more