This May Is Not Likely To Hurt – But Just In Case, Here Are Some Hedging Ideas

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 6, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) 1965 to 1967 1969 to 1971 1981 to 1984 1998 to 2000 2010 to 2012 Since 1950, these are the ONLY years where the S&P 500 (SPY) finished the month of … Read more

May 2013 Was Fine As Expected; Now Brace for Summer Volatility

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 3, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Average, median, frequency, and context. These are all measures to take into consideration when assessing the odds of an event and its potential impact. It is something almost always lost in … Read more

Ranger Equity Bear ETF Still Behaving As A Leveraged Bet Against the S&P 500

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 28, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In June, 2012, I compared the short-term and long-term performance of the Ranger Equity Bear ETF (HDGE) against ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS). I concluded that SDS was OK for short-term bearish … Read more

T2108 Update (August 17, 2012) – Waiting for Confirmation (Reasons to Love and Hate This Market Here)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 74.9% (third day of … Read more

T2108 Update (August 16, 2012) – Pressure Released Into A Breakout, Apple On the Edge

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 73.6% (second day of … Read more

T2108 Update (August 3, 2012) – Incipient Rally Strengthens, Raising the Bar On Bearish Trades

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 71.8% (first day of … Read more

Hedge with HDGE for the Long-Term, SDS for the Short-Term

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Now that the stock market seems set to continue next week’s rally thanks to the multi-billion bailout of Spain’s banks, it makes sense to consider (or review) hedges for the summer … Read more