ONE-TWENTY TWO - A collection of personal articles on financial markets including analysis you can use
Mar
30

T2108 Update (March 29, 2016) – Yellen Punches the Market’s Refresh Button

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

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Mar
16

Rate Hike Expectations Surge Into March Fed Meeting As Divergent Market Participation Looms

written by Dr. Duru

What a difference a month makes. On February 19, the S&P 500 (SPY) was taking a brief rest from a sprint off oversold conditions. The market for Fed Fund Futures had priced away any rate hikes for all of 2016. Ever since then, expectations have risen ever higher. NOW, the market expects the next rate […]

Read More About - Rate Hike Expectations Surge Into March Fed Meeting As Divergent Market Participation Looms »

Mar
6

Rising Rate Expectations Add to Changes in Market Sentiment

written by Dr. Duru

I have become accustomed to a relatively predictable reaction to moves in the market’s expectations for rate hikes from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Last week began in the wake of the market finally bringing its expectations for the next rate hike back into 2016. The cascade of impacts from there were predictable: a stronger U.S. […]

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Mar
5

T2108 Update (March 4, 2016) – The Underlying Bullishness of the S&P 500’s Melt Up to 1999.99

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (March 4, 2016) – The Underlying Bullishness of the S&P 500’s Melt Up to 1999.99 »

Feb
29

A Cascade of Impacts from Rate Hike Expectations Planted Back In 2016

written by Dr. Duru

On Friday, February 26th, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis reported revised GDP results for Q4 2015. The number went from a first estimate of 0.7% to 1.0% annualized. The Bureau of Economic Analysis declared “with this second estimate for the fourth quarter, the general picture of economic growth remains the same; […]

Read More About - A Cascade of Impacts from Rate Hike Expectations Planted Back In 2016 »

Feb
7

T2108 Update (February 5, 2016) – The Fallen Ones

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (February 5, 2016) – The Fallen Ones »

Feb
4

T2108 Update (February 3, 2016) – The Waterfall and the Whale: An Oversold Near Miss

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (February 3, 2016) – The Waterfall and the Whale: An Oversold Near Miss »

Jan
28

T2108 Update (January 27, 2016) – A Post-Fed Stalemate

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (January 27, 2016) – A Post-Fed Stalemate »

Jan
27

T2108 Update (January 26, 2016) – Rally or Regress: A Fed-Inspired Binary Trade

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (January 26, 2016) – Rally or Regress: A Fed-Inspired Binary Trade »

Dec
2

No Bottom Yet for Gold But Its Current Decline Should Soon Slow

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 29, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to hike interest rates in December. The Fed and economic data have finally convinced the market of an imminent rate hike, and the high odds […]

Read More About - No Bottom Yet for Gold But Its Current Decline Should Soon Slow »

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