Potential Trouble Brewing: Dollar Breaks Out While Gold and Yen Hold Steady

The U.S. dollar index is only trading back to levels from last summer. However, from a technical standpoint, the dollar has broken out: the short-term downtrend has ended, and the current move has considerable upside potential. *Chart created using TeleChart: The chart above shows that the dollar’s break below the 200DMA in May led to … Read more

links for 2010-01-29

US Firms Facing too Many 'Headaches' in China: Locke – CNBC Chinese policies that promote domestic firms and create barriers against foreign ones could cause American companies to lose interest in China, U.S.Commerce Secretary Gary Locke said on Thursday. (tags: trade_policy China) Washington Bickering Leaves Little Hope for Change – WSJ.com It's becoming increasingly clear … Read more

U.S. Steel and Nucor Cap End of Sharp Rallies with Sobering Earnings

At the end of December, I suggested that the post-earnings trading in U.S. Steel (X) and Nucor (NUE) would be explosive based upon stealth rallies from the November lows that occurred despite a strong accumulation in puts and shorts on those stocks. On Tuesday, both steel companies delivered disappointing earnings that included cautions regarding continued … Read more

links for 2010-01-27

Dissecting the Media's 'Gloom and Doom' Short-term indicators, such as the AAII survey, are showing bumps in the road, as they swing from bullish to bearish extremes. However…we continue to see long-term disbelief by the major media in regard to the market's performance. This is all the more remarkable because it's counter-trend to what the … Read more