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Statistics on the
Performance of the S&P and NASDAQ On Options Expiration Week |
|
% occurrence by year |
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% occurrence for options expiry week |
|
Year |
Directions |
S&P |
Nazz |
|
Year |
up or down |
S&P |
Nazz |
|
2000 |
down-up |
42% |
17% |
|
2000 |
up |
50% |
42% |
|
2000 |
up-down |
25% |
33% |
|
2000 |
down |
50% |
58% |
|
2000 |
up-up |
8% |
25% |
|
2001 |
up |
45% |
36% |
|
2000 |
down-down |
25% |
25% |
|
2001 |
down |
55% |
64% |
|
2001 |
down-up |
18% |
9% |
|
2002 |
up |
67% |
50% |
|
2001 |
up-down |
27% |
27% |
|
2002 |
down |
33% |
50% |
|
2001 |
up-up |
27% |
27% |
|
2003 |
up |
83% |
75% |
|
2001 |
down-down |
27% |
36% |
|
2003 |
down |
17% |
25% |
|
2002 |
down-up |
42% |
33% |
|
2004 |
up |
33% |
42% |
|
2002 |
up-down |
0% |
8% |
|
2004 |
down |
67% |
58% |
|
2002 |
up-up |
25% |
17% |
|
2005 |
up |
42% |
42% |
|
2002 |
down-down |
33% |
42% |
|
2005 |
down |
58% |
58% |
|
2003 |
down-up |
33% |
42% |
|
2006 |
up |
60% |
60% |
|
2003 |
up-down |
8% |
17% |
|
2006 |
down |
40% |
40% |
|
2003 |
up-up |
50% |
33% |
|
*2006 data as of 5/20/06 |
|
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|
2003 |
down-down |
8% |
8% |
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|
2004 |
down-up |
8% |
25% |
|
ALL YEARS |
up |
54% |
49% |
|
2004 |
up-down |
25% |
17% |
|
ALL YEARS |
down |
46% |
51% |
|
2004 |
up-up |
25% |
17% |
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|
2004 |
down-down |
42% |
42% |
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*ALL YEARS means 2000 - 2006 |
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|
2005 |
down-up |
17% |
17% |
|
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|
2005 |
up-down |
33% |
17% |
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|
2005 |
up-up |
25% |
25% |
|
% occurrence of the balance effect |
|
|
2005 |
down-down |
25% |
42% |
|
Year |
up or down |
S&P |
Nazz |
|
2006 |
down-up |
40% |
60% |
|
2000 |
balance |
67% |
50% |
|
2006 |
up-down |
20% |
20% |
|
2000 |
same |
33% |
50% |
|
2006 |
up-up |
20% |
0% |
|
2001 |
balance |
45% |
36% |
|
2006 |
down-down |
20% |
20% |
|
2001 |
same |
55% |
64% |
|
*2006 data as of 5/20/06 |
|
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|
2002 |
balance |
42% |
42% |
|
*September thrown out due to 9/11 terrorist
attacks |
2002 |
same |
58% |
58% |
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|
2003 |
balance |
42% |
58% |
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|
2003 |
same |
58% |
42% |
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|
Directions |
S&P |
Nazz |
|
2004 |
balance |
33% |
42% |
|
ALL YEARS |
down-up |
28% |
26% |
|
2004 |
same |
67% |
58% |
|
ALL YEARS |
up-down |
20% |
20% |
|
2005 |
balance |
50% |
33% |
|
ALL YEARS |
up-up |
26% |
22% |
|
2005 |
same |
50% |
67% |
|
ALL YEARS |
down-down |
26% |
32% |
|
2006 |
balance |
60% |
80% |
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|
|
100% |
100% |
|
2006 |
same |
40% |
20% |
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*ALL YEARS means 2000 - 2006 |
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*2006 data as of 5/20/06 |
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ALL YEARS |
balance |
47% |
46% |
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ALL YEARS |
same |
53% |
54% |
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*ALL YEARS means 2000 - 2006 |
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"balance" means down-up or up-down |
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"same" means up-up or down-down |
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